Análisis Choco vs Gran Peña
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
-53%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2011 |
TOM
1 - 1
CHO
38%
25%
36%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
SPO
42%
26%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2011 |
PON
1 - 0
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 1
CHO
41%
26%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
NIG
36%
26%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 4
RIB
29%
26%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 1
GRA
18%
22%
61%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 3
BAR
46%
24%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 may. 2011 |
PON
5 - 1
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 may. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 2
CEL
38%
27%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |