Análisis Choco vs CD Lugo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-28%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1964 |
LEM
1 - 1
CHO
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1964 |
CHO
3 - 1
ARO
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1964 |
ASP
3 - 1
CHO
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 2
ACF
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 1964 |
FOZ
3 - 2
CHO
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1964 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALO
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1964 |
COX
1 - 2
LUG
31%
26%
44%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1964 |
LUG
1 - 4
RCF
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 sep. 1964 |
DEP
0 - 1
LUG
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 1964 |
LUG
4 - 1
ATO
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |