Análisis Cieza vs Alquerias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2016 |
MAZ
1 - 1
CIE
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2016 |
CIE
1 - 0
CDA
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
CIE
74%
16%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
CIE
3 - 1
BEN
52%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 1
CIE
73%
15%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2016 |
ALQ
1 - 0
MSM
47%
24%
30%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
MIN
3 - 1
ALQ
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2016 |
ALQ
0 - 0
JUM
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALQ
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
ALQ
1 - 1
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |