Análisis Cieza vs Bala Azul
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+56%
+87%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 2
CIE
51%
25%
25%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
CIE
3 - 1
SGI
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 2008 |
CIU
0 - 2
CIE
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 2008 |
CIE
2 - 2
YEC
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2008 |
PUL
2 - 2
CIE
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 1
POZ
68%
19%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 0
MUL
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 0
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 1
SGI
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2008 |
CIU
4 - 2
BAL
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |