Análisis Cieza vs Cuarto Distrito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CIE
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 0
LOR
16%
24%
61%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | +1 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
CCS
1 - 1
CIE
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 1
CPE
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 4
CIE
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
PIN
4 - 0
CUA
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 0
CUA
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 sep. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
LOR
15%
23%
63%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
CCS
4 - 0
CUA
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |