Análisis Cieza vs Plus Ultra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.47
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.6%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+58%
-100%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 2009 |
CFB
1 - 1
CIE
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
CIE
53%
25%
23%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
CIE
1 - 0
CDB
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
CIE
27%
26%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
CIE
1 - 0
JUM
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 dic. 2008 |
BAL
3 - 3
PLU
47%
23%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2008 |
PLU
1 - 0
CIU
28%
25%
47%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
PLU
0 - 0
CAL
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2008 |
PLU
3 - 1
LUM
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
SGI
1 - 4
PLU
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |