Análisis Cieza vs Plus Ultra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.46
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+56%
-99%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2010 |
PUT
1 - 1
CIE
22%
22%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2010 |
CIE
4 - 0
FOR
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIE
15%
22%
64%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
CIE
0 - 2
PIN
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
CIE
6 - 1
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2010 |
PLU
4 - 3
BAL
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2010 |
CUA
0 - 3
PLU
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2010 |
PLU
0 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 2
PLU
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
PLU
1 - 1
CCS
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |