Análisis Cieza vs Plus Ultra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.55
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-87%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2012 |
JUM
1 - 3
CIE
19%
25%
56%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 0
MIN
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
YEC
0 - 2
CIE
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
CIE
5 - 0
ESP
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
CIE
15%
23%
63%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 2
PIN
40%
26%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
PLU
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 2
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
PLU
3 - 1
JUM
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 2
PLU
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |