Análisis Ciudad de Lucena vs Atlético Espeleño
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.41
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
CDL
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2018 |
CDL
2 - 3
BET
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2018 |
CDA
1 - 1
CDL
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2018 |
CDL
3 - 0
COR
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2018 |
CEU
1 - 0
CDL
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 0
CRD
10%
18%
72%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2018 |
ALG
4 - 1
ESP
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 0
CDG
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 nov. 2018 |
XER
3 - 2
ESP
75%
16%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 1
LEB
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |