Análisis Cerro CA vs Danubio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.29
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2013 |
CEL
3 - 1
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
CER
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 1
RAC
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
CER
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 1
PEÑ
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
Partidos
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 2
DEF
30%
26%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2013 |
ETS
0 - 1
DAN
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 mar. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
DAN
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2013 |
DAN
2 - 1
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |