Análisis Cerro CA vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
27.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
CER
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2010 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CER
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2010 |
CER
1 - 1
RAC
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2010 |
JUN
0 - 0
CER
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 0
CER
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
LFC
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2010 |
CSM
2 - 4
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
BVS
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2010 |
ETS
1 - 1
NAC
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 3
FEN
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |