Análisis Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-37%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jun. 2004 |
LAP
0 - 0
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2004 |
OPE
4 - 1
AUR
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
AUR
3 - 0
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 may. 2004 |
UNI
3 - 1
AUR
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jun. 2004 |
JWI
1 - 0
IBE
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2004 |
SAC
1 - 0
JWI
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 may. 2004 |
JWI
1 - 2
RPO
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
BLO
2 - 2
JWI
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2004 |
JWI
1 - 2
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |