Análisis Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-37%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2008 |
OPE
3 - 0
AUR
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2008 |
AUR
2 - 1
LAP
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
AUR
0 - 1
STR
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2008 |
REA
3 - 0
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 0
AUR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2008 |
JWI
2 - 2
BLO
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
JWI
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2008 |
RPO
4 - 2
JWI
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2008 |
JWI
1 - 0
BOL
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2008 |
SAN
5 - 1
JWI
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -2 |