Análisis Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-40%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
AUR
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 2
BOL
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
BLO
2 - 0
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 2
RPO
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2012 |
LAP
0 - 1
OPE
27%
25%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2012 |
STR
5 - 1
OPE
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
REA
2 - 1
OPE
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |