Análisis Aurora vs Club Unión Central
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ago. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 2
BOL
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2004 |
OPE
4 - 0
AUR
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 ago. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 1
SAC
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 jul. 2004 |
BLO
4 - 2
AUR
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 jun. 2004 |
AUR
5 - 1
BLO
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Club Unión Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ago. 2004 |
JWI
2 - 0
UNI
56%
22%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 0
OPE
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 jul. 2004 |
SAC
1 - 2
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 jun. 2004 |
SAC
0 - 1
UNI
43%
24%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |