Análisis Aurora vs Club Unión Central
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2005 |
AUR
1 - 1
RPO
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2005 |
BOL
3 - 2
AUR
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 2005 |
AUR
2 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 jul. 2005 |
BLO
2 - 0
AUR
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 jul. 2005 |
AUR
4 - 0
IBE
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Club Unión Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 2005 |
UNI
0 - 1
OPE
20%
25%
54%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2005 |
LAP
1 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 jul. 2005 |
UNI
4 - 0
RPO
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 jul. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 0
UNI
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 jul. 2005 |
UNI
0 - 0
BLO
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |