Análisis Aurora vs Club Unión Central
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 sep. 2006 |
BOL
4 - 1
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
AUR
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
AUR
3 - 1
UNI
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
JWI
1 - 1
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2006 |
AUR
0 - 2
OPE
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Club Unión Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
OPE
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 0
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 2
BOL
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 0
DES
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |