Análisis 12 de Octubre vs CD El Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
12O
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2002 |
12O
1 - 2
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
12O
3 - 2
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2002 |
SPO
0 - 1
12O
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2002 |
12O
1 - 0
AME
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 4
QUI
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 1
NAC
44%
31%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIG
48%
30%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
EME
49%
29%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |