Análisis 12 de Octubre vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
15%
Probabilidad gana
0.73
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
12O
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2020 |
12O
0 - 3
LIB
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 nov. 2019 |
12O
3 - 1
RIC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2019 |
2DE
3 - 1
12O
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 2019 |
12O
2 - 0
RÑU
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2020 |
GUA
4 - 0
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
GUA
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
SPO
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 5
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -2 |