Análisis 12 de Octubre vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
12O
1 - 2
LQE
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
OLI
3 - 2
12O
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2007 |
12O
2 - 1
AME
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 3
12O
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +2 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 1
LIB
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
SPT
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIB
37%
27%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 0
2DE
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |