Análisis 12 de Octubre vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 2
12O
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
12O
0 - 1
TAC
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 0
12O
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2008 |
12O
0 - 3
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
12O
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 1
LIB
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 2
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
LIB
8 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 feb. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 1
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |