Análisis Cobresal vs Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.43
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.8%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 2
CSL
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2005 |
HUA
0 - 2
CSL
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 feb. 2005 |
CSL
4 - 3
UNI
47%
23%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2005 |
SWA
1 - 3
CSL
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 2005 |
CSL
3 - 0
PUE
60%
21%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 2005 |
CON
0 - 0
CDM
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 2005 |
DLS
2 - 2
CON
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
CON
2 - 1
SWA
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 ene. 2005 |
CON
1 - 1
HUA
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |