Análisis Cobresal vs Univ. Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2005 |
USF
1 - 2
CSL
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2005 |
CSL
0 - 1
DLS
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 0
CSL
48%
24%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
CSL
0 - 1
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 2
CSL
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
CDM
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2005 |
CSD
1 - 1
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 0
ACS
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |