Análisis Colegiales vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+32%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 0
COL
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 3
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 2012 |
PLA
0 - 0
COL
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
ATL
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 sep. 2012 |
CCO
1 - 0
COL
42%
28%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 3
FLA
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2012 |
BRO
2 - 2
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
MOR
66%
22%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
DEF
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 ago. 2012 |
DAL
3 - 1
MOR
64%
23%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |