Análisis Colombia Sub20 vs Paraguay Sub20
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Colombia Sub20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 1967 |
VEN
3 - 1
COL
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1967 |
ARG
1 - 1
COL
66%
17%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 1964 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
74%
15%
12%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 ene. 1964 |
COL
1 - 1
CHI
76%
14%
11%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1964 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
70%
16%
14%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Paraguay Sub20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1967 |
PAR
3 - 1
ARG
69%
16%
14%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1967 |
PAR
4 - 0
VEN
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 1964 |
PAR
1 - 0
VEN
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1964 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
75%
14%
11%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1964 |
PAR
2 - 0
PER
71%
15%
13%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |