Análisis Colón vs Patronato
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
58.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.65
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2016 |
COL
0 - 3
CAU
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 2016 |
COL
4 - 1
RIV
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
IND
4 - 1
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 feb. 2016 |
COL
0 - 3
CEN
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
RIV
22%
26%
53%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 0
CEN
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 2016 |
GOD
3 - 1
PAT
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
BEL
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |