Análisis Comercial PI vs 4 de Julho
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
CAC
8%
14%
78%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
FPI
50%
22%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 ago. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 2
CAC
36%
25%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +12 |
| 23 ago. 2012 |
CAC
3 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
SAM
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2023 |
4DE
1 - 1
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
4DE
39%
27%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 jul. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 1
4DE
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 jul. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 1
MOT
25%
27%
49%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 jul. 2022 |
TUN
2 - 1
4DE
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |