Análisis Comercial MS vs Mixto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
46.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.45
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27%
Probabilidad gana
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 1979 |
ITA
1 - 1
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1979 |
COM
2 - 0
FLU
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 2
COM
46%
26%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 1979 |
COM
0 - 1
OPE
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1979 |
ATL
4 - 1
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 1979 |
MIX
4 - 3
OPE
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1979 |
GAM
2 - 1
MIX
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1979 |
ITA
0 - 1
MIX
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1979 |
MIX
1 - 0
ITU
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1979 |
MIX
3 - 0
GUA
43%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +2 |