Análisis Comercial vs Fernandópolis
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70%
Probabilidad gana
2.09
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11%
Probabilidad gana
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-39%
-43%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 2
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
CAT
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 ene. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
SAO
22%
24%
55%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
FER
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 ene. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
ATI
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |