Paulista A3 Etapas Finales. Cuartos
Global 4-1
Análisis Comercial vs Linense CA
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
58.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 1
COM
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
BAT
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 3
COM
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 2020 |
COM
3 - 2
PRI
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 3
COM
41%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 1
COM
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2020 |
LIN
1 - 1
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 1
LIN
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 1
OLI
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 4
LIN
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |