Análisis Comercial vs Nacional SP
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 sep. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
VOT
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
COM
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2016 |
COM
4 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 sep. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2016 |
VOT
3 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
RBB
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
SJS
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 ago. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |