Copa Paulista . Octavos
Global 3-1
Análisis Comercial vs Primavera SP
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
+25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2020 |
PRI
0 - 0
COM
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2020 |
COM
2 - 0
ATI
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 nov. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
VEL
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 1
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2020 |
PRI
0 - 0
COM
20%
26%
54%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2020 |
XVD
0 - 1
PRI
77%
16%
6%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 nov. 2020 |
PRI
1 - 1
INT
18%
24%
59%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2020 |
AUD
0 - 1
PRI
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 2020 |
PRI
0 - 0
AUD
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |