Análisis Comercial vs São Carlos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
VEL
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 abr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
JAB
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |