Análisis Como vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+38%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 1
COM
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1954 |
COM
2 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 1954 |
COM
2 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
COM
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1954 |
COM
1 - 2
PRO
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1954 |
MES
0 - 1
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
PAV
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1954 |
VIC
2 - 0
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1954 |
CAT
1 - 3
MES
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |