Análisis Como vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+38%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 1954 |
COM
0 - 1
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1954 |
TAR
2 - 0
COM
47%
24%
28%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 nov. 1954 |
SAL
0 - 1
COM
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 1954 |
COM
5 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1954 |
VER
0 - 1
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 dic. 1954 |
MES
2 - 2
TRE
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1954 |
PAL
1 - 1
MES
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1954 |
MES
1 - 2
SAL
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1954 |
PAR
1 - 1
MES
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1954 |
PAD
3 - 1
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |