Análisis Como vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.08
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+37%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 1956 |
USA
1 - 1
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1956 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1956 |
LIV
2 - 0
COM
42%
29%
30%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 1956 |
COM
3 - 3
CAG
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 1956 |
MES
3 - 3
PAL
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1956 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1956 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 1956 |
VER
1 - 1
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1956 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |