Análisis Concarneau vs Le Mans II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
59.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 3
CON
61%
24%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
CON
4 - 1
VCH
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
PLA
3 - 1
CON
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
SAU
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
CON
4 - 1
AVR
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2012 |
LEM
0 - 2
AVR
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2012 |
LAV
1 - 3
LEM
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
LEM
2 - 0
PON
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
LES
1 - 0
LEM
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
LEM
0 - 1
FON
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |