Análisis Concepción vs CD Melipilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
OHI
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
ULC
1 - 0
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
CON
2 - 2
DCO
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 oct. 2004 |
NTA
0 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2004 |
OHI
1 - 1
CON
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2004 |
CDM
1 - 1
NTA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2004 |
OHI
1 - 1
CDM
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
CDM
2 - 2
ULC
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 oct. 2004 |
DCO
1 - 1
CDM
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 3
CDM
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |