Análisis Concepción vs La Serena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2005 |
ACS
6 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2005 |
SWA
1 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2005 |
CON
1 - 1
CSD
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2005 |
DLS
1 - 1
UNI
33%
25%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
DLS
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 jul. 2005 |
DLS
1 - 1
USF
61%
21%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2005 |
EVE
3 - 1
DLS
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 may. 2005 |
DLS
2 - 2
COQ
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |