Análisis Concepción vs La Serena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2008 |
CON
1 - 3
PAL
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2008 |
CSL
4 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
CON
3 - 2
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
CON
2 - 4
CSD
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jul. 2008 |
EVE
5 - 5
DLS
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 2008 |
DLS
6 - 2
COB
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 jul. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
DLS
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 2008 |
DLS
1 - 0
CDM
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 jun. 2008 |
CSD
2 - 1
DLS
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |