Análisis Concepción vs Deportes Copiapó
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2003 |
CDM
0 - 2
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2003 |
CON
2 - 3
DLS
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2003 |
CDP
2 - 1
CON
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 sep. 2003 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 2003 |
OVA
3 - 3
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Partidos
Deportes Copiapó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2003 |
DCO
3 - 1
NTA
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2003 |
DCO
1 - 0
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 2003 |
CDM
5 - 1
DCO
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 sep. 2003 |
DCO
0 - 2
DLS
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2003 |
CDP
3 - 0
DCO
46%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |