Análisis Concepción vs Magallanes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2003 |
ULC
2 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2003 |
CON
2 - 0
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 2003 |
LOT
3 - 1
CON
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2003 |
NTA
1 - 1
CON
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2003 |
2 - 1
CON
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2003 |
MAG
3 - 0
NTA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2003 |
MAG
2 - 1
OVA
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2003 |
MAG
0 - 0
EVE
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 2003 |
ULC
2 - 1
MAG
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2003 |
OVA
3 - 2
MAG
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |