Análisis Concepción vs CDS Naval
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2004 |
0 - 3
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
LOT
2 - 3
CON
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
CON
2 - 0
CDP
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2004 |
NTA
2 - 1
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2004 |
NTA
1 - 1
CDP
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2004 |
NTA
2 - 1
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
LOT
0 - 2
NTA
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2004 |
NTA
2 - 1
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
CDP
1 - 3
NTA
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |