Análisis Concepción vs CDS Naval
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 2004 |
2 - 2
CON
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2004 |
LOT
0 - 2
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
CDP
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
NTA
1 - 1
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
CON
2 - 2
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2004 |
NTA
0 - 1
CDP
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2004 |
NTA
1 - 0
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
LOT
1 - 0
NTA
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
NTA
1 - 1
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
CDP
1 - 1
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |