Análisis Concepción vs San Marcos Arica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
38.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.38
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jun. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 1
CON
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 1
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2012 |
CON
3 - 1
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 may. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 3
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 may. 2012 |
CON
4 - 0
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jun. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
18%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
MAG
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 may. 2012 |
CUR
2 - 3
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 may. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
NUB
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |