Análisis Conil vs CD Alcalá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2012 |
REC
3 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
CON
2 - 4
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 1
CON
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 2012 |
CRD
2 - 1
CON
44%
26%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2012 |
AGD
3 - 1
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 3
AGD
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
ALG
0 - 1
ALC
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2012 |
NIJ
1 - 1
ALC
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |