Análisis Constància vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
34.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+32%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 1944 |
BAR
2 - 1
CON
51%
22%
27%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 1944 |
CON
0 - 1
SDC
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 ene. 1944 |
SPO
2 - 1
CON
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
ALC
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
CUL
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 1944 |
HER
4 - 0
OSA
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 1944 |
BET
3 - 1
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1944 |
HER
3 - 1
JFC
56%
21%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 2
HER
44%
22%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 ene. 1944 |
HER
1 - 1
ARE
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |