Análisis Constància vs Mercadal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+62%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2009 |
UDA
1 - 1
CON
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
ATB
33%
26%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 2
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 nov. 2009 |
CON
3 - 0
ESP
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 2009 |
SRF
1 - 1
CON
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 dic. 2009 |
MNU
0 - 2
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
FER
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 2009 |
CLL
2 - 3
MER
58%
20%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
SCD
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2009 |
PBL
1 - 0
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |