Análisis Constància vs Mercadal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+56%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 ene. 2011 |
NTÑ
1 - 2
CON
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
ALA
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 2010 |
BNS
2 - 0
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 dic. 2010 |
CON
2 - 1
PXD
48%
27%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 2
CON
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 ene. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 3
MER
35%
25%
41%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
NTÑ
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2010 |
MER
1 - 2
FRR
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 dic. 2010 |
ALA
3 - 2
MER
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 nov. 2010 |
MER
0 - 0
CAM
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |