Análisis Constància vs Poblense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.11
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+50%
+37%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 1954 |
CON
7 - 1
UEP
91%
6%
3%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1954 |
ATB
1 - 2
CON
74%
14%
12%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 may. 1954 |
TOR
6 - 2
CON
70%
16%
15%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -4 |
| 23 may. 1954 |
GIM
1 - 2
CON
74%
14%
12%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 may. 1954 |
SAN
1 - 2
CON
65%
17%
17%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 1954 |
PBL
2 - 2
ATB
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1954 |
BNS
1 - 2
PBL
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |